Thursday's Mallorca round of 16 pits Andrea Lazaro Garcia against Nuria Brancaccio on clay. Andrea Lazaro Garcia is 6-4 across recent matches. Nuria Brancaccio is 6-4 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 59.5% versus 54.7% on first-serve points in Garcia's favor. Brancaccio comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Garcia.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Nuria Brancaccio |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.6% | 74.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 59.5% | 54.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.6% | 43% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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