Andrea Pellegrino and Flavio Cobolli meet in the first round at French Open on Monday. Flavio Cobolli is 7-3 across recent matches. Andrea Pellegrino is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

The ledger favors Flavio Cobolli, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Andrea Pellegrino. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Cobolli — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Cobolli has been winning 70.8% of first-serve points to Pellegrino's 65.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Cobolli should have enough here, though Pellegrino has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.