Andrea Pellegrino and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer meet in the round of 32 at Bastad on Tuesday. Andrea Pellegrino is 5-5 across recent matches. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Pellegrino fractionally more likely to land the big points.