A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Andrea Pellegrino goes up against Pol Martin Tiffon in the Lisbon round of 32. Andrea Pellegrino has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Pol Martin Tiffon is 4-6 across recent matches.
Andrea Pellegrino is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Pellegrino around 60%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Pellegrino is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrea Pellegrino | Pol Martin Tiffon |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.2% | 58.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.6% | 68% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.4% | 49.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.