A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Andrea Pellegrino goes up against Pol Martin Tiffon in the Lisbon round of 32. Andrea Pellegrino has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Pol Martin Tiffon is 4-6 across recent matches.

Andrea Pellegrino is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Pellegrino around 60%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Pellegrino is exactly that — a lean.