A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Andrea Pellegrino goes up against Thiago Monteiro in the San Marino round of 16. Andrea Pellegrino comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Thiago Monteiro is 6-4 across recent matches.
Andrea Pellegrino simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Pellegrino is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrea Pellegrino | Thiago Monteiro |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.1% | 64.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.5% | 71.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.6% | 51.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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