A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Andrea Pellegrino goes up against Valerio Aboian in the Genova round of 16. Andrea Pellegrino has won 6 of the last 10. Valerio Aboian comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Pellegrino arrives with very little recovery time; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. If Pellegrino plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.