A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Andrea Pellegrino goes up against Valerio Aboian in the Genova round of 16. Andrea Pellegrino has won 6 of the last 10. Valerio Aboian comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Pellegrino arrives with very little recovery time; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. If Pellegrino plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrea Pellegrino | Valerio Aboian |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.5% | 58.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.4% | 64.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.9% | 46.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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