Andrey Rublev and Daniel Merida Aguilar meet in the round of 64 at US Open on Wednesday. Andrey Rublev is 7-3 across recent matches. Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Rublev's 74.2% behind the first serve (against 64.4% for Aguilar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rublev is exactly that — a lean.