Daniil Medvedev won 7-5 6-4
Nailed it. We had Daniil Medvedev at 61% before the match, and Daniil Medvedev won 7-5 6-4.
It all comes down to Tuesday at Hangzhou, where Andrey Rublev faces Daniil Medvedev for the trophy. Daniil Medvedev has won 6 of the last 10. Andrey Rublev is 6-4 across recent matches.
Daniil Medvedev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Medvedev comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Medvedev.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 62.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.2% | 72.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51% | 48.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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