Estoril · QF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 24, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC

Andrey Rublev vs. Luca Van Assche — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 24, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Luca Van Assche won 3-6 6-3 6-4

We got this one wrong. Our final number was 72% on Andrey Rublev; Luca Van Assche won 3-6 6-3 6-4.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Luca Van Assche in the Estoril quarterfinal. Andrey Rublev is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Luca Van Assche comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Andrey Rublev, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Luca Van Assche.

The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.1% of first-serve points to Assche's 67.6%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Assche needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Andrey Rublev

1928

Luca Van Assche

1858

Overall rating

Andrey Rublev

1905

Luca Van Assche

1907

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Andrey Rublev	Luca Van Assche
1st serve in	59.7%	61.4%
1st serve points won	74.1%	67.6%
2nd serve points won	51.1%	50%

Form

Andrey Rublev

7–3

Luca Van Assche

8–2

Head to head

Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 1-0.

Full Rublev vs Assche history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche at Estoril?: Luca Van Assche won 3-6 6-3 6-4.
Was the Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche prediction correct?: We got this one wrong. Our final number was 72% on Andrey Rublev; Luca Van Assche won 3-6 6-3 6-4.
What is the head-to-head record between Andrey Rublev and Luca Van Assche?: Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 1-0.