A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Luca Van Assche in the Estoril quarterfinal. Andrey Rublev is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Luca Van Assche comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
The ledger favors Andrey Rublev, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Luca Van Assche.
The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.1% of first-serve points to Assche's 67.6%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Assche needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Luca Van Assche |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 61.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.1% | 67.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.1% | 50% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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