Monday's US Open first round pits Andrey Rublev against Marin Cilic on hard. Andrey Rublev has won 6 of the last 10. Marin Cilic is 4-6 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Rublev gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Marin Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 57.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.1% | 76.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.1% | 50.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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