Tuesday's Cincinnati round of 32 pits Andrey Rublev against Nuno Borges on hard. Andrey Rublev has won 6 of the last 10. Nuno Borges is 7-3 across recent matches.
Andrey Rublev has had the better of this rivalry, winning 5 of 5 against Nuno Borges. On hard specifically it reads 3-0 Rublev — worth more than the overall number this week.
Andrey Rublev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rublev is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Nuno Borges |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 65.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.1% | 71.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.1% | 51.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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