Cincinnati · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 18, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC

Andrey Rublev vs. Nuno Borges — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 18, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Nuno Borges won 6-3 6-4

Missed it. We had Andrey Rublev at 56%, but Nuno Borges won 6-3 6-4.

Tuesday's Cincinnati round of 32 pits Andrey Rublev against Nuno Borges on hard. Andrey Rublev has won 6 of the last 10. Nuno Borges is 7-3 across recent matches.

Andrey Rublev has had the better of this rivalry, winning 5 of 5 against Nuno Borges. On hard specifically it reads 3-0 Rublev — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rublev is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Andrey Rublev

1854

Nuno Borges

1801

Overall rating

Andrey Rublev

1939

Nuno Borges

1886

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Andrey Rublev	Nuno Borges
1st serve in	59.7%	65.1%
1st serve points won	74.1%	71.3%
2nd serve points won	51.1%	51.3%

Form

Andrey Rublev

6–4

Nuno Borges

7–3

Head to head

Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 5-0. On hard: 3-0 Andrey Rublev.

Full Rublev vs Borges history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

What Pro unlocks

Frequently asked questions

Who won Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges at Cincinnati?: Nuno Borges won 6-3 6-4.
Was the Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges prediction correct?: Missed it. We had Andrey Rublev at 56%, but Nuno Borges won 6-3 6-4.
What is the head-to-head record between Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges?: Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 5-0. On hard: 3-0 Andrey Rublev.