A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Otto Virtanen in the US Open first round. Andrey Rublev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Otto Virtanen has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Rublev fractionally more likely to land the big points.