Andrey Rublev won 7-6 6-1
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 62% on Andrey Rublev, who won 7-6 6-1.
Sunday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Andrey Rublev against Pablo Carreno Busta on hard. Andrey Rublev has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Pablo Carreno Busta comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.1% of first-serve points to Busta's 68.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Rublev.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 65.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.1% | 68.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.1% | 49.7% |
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