Rei Sakamoto won 6-4 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 70% on Andrey Rublev; Rei Sakamoto won 6-4 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Rei Sakamoto in the Shanghai round of 64. Andrey Rublev has won 6 of the last 10. Rei Sakamoto has won 5 of the last 10.
Andrey Rublev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Rublev should have enough here, though Sakamoto has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Rei Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 62.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.2% | 73.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51% | 50.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.