A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Andrey Rublev goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Hangzhou round of 16. Andrey Rublev has won 6 of the last 10. Rinky Hijikata is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).
The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.2% of first-serve points to Hijikata's 68.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Hijikata comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Rublev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Andrey Rublev | Rinky Hijikata |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 60.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.2% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51% | 50.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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