Monterrey · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 25, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC · Cancelled
Anhelina Kalinina vs Maya Joint — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 25, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Anhelina Kalinina and Maya Joint meet in the round of 32 at Monterrey on Tuesday. Anhelina Kalinina is 4-6 across recent matches. Maya Joint has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kalinina is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-126(55.8% Kalinina)
Market+106(48.4% Kalinina)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Anhelina Kalinina
1647
Maya Joint
1708
Overall rating
Anhelina Kalinina
1739
Maya Joint
1723
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Anhelina Kalinina
Maya Joint
1st serve in
63.7%
64%
1st serve points won
60.6%
59.9%
2nd serve points won
45.1%
46.4%
Form
Anhelina Kalinina
4–6
Maya Joint
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Anhelina Kalinina vs Maya Joint?
Maiden gives Anhelina Kalinina a 56% chance to beat Maya Joint in the Monterrey round of 32 on August 25, 2026.
How confident is the Anhelina Kalinina pick?
56% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 56%, picks in that range have won 64% of the time (190 so far). See the track record page for the full table.