A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Ann Li goes up against Aryna Sabalenka in the Wuhan round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka has won 7 of the last 10. Ann Li comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Aryna Sabalenka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sabalenka around 83%. Li needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.