A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Ann Li goes up against Aryna Sabalenka in the Wuhan round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka has won 7 of the last 10. Ann Li comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Aryna Sabalenka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sabalenka around 83%. Li needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ann Li | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.3% | 67% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.1% | 44.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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