Monday's Beijing round of 32 pits Ann Li against Belinda Bencic on hard. Belinda Bencic is 7-3 across recent matches. Ann Li has won 6 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Li comes in off a compressed schedule; Bencic comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bencic.