Tokyo · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 27, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC
Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 27, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Ekaterina Alexandrova won 6-4 6-4
A miss: Ann Li at 53% lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova (6-4 6-4).
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Ann Li goes up against Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Tokyo round of 32. Ann Li has won 7 of the last 10. Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 6 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Li fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ann Li
1820
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1824
Overall rating
Ann Li
1868
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1866
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ann Li
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1st serve in
59.8%
58.9%
1st serve points won
65.8%
67.1%
2nd serve points won
47.2%
43%
Form
Ann Li
7–3
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at Tokyo?
Ekaterina Alexandrova won 6-4 6-4.
Was the Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova prediction correct?
A miss: Ann Li at 53% lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova (6-4 6-4).