Wednesday's Beijing round of 16 pits Ann Li against Elina Svitolina on hard. Elina Svitolina is 6-4 across recent matches. Ann Li comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Svitolina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.