Ann Li and Maria Timofeeva meet in the round of 16 at Monterrey on Wednesday. Ann Li comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Maria Timofeeva has won 8 of the last 10.
Ann Li leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Li — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Li has been winning 65.2% of first-serve points to Timofeeva's 59.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Timofeeva comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Li.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ann Li | Maria Timofeeva |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.5% | 66.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.2% | 59.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.9% | 47.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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