Cincinnati · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 16, 2026, 6:40 PM UTC

Ann Li vs. Shuai Zhang — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 16, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Ann Li won 7-5 6-3

Nailed it. We had Ann Li at 55% before the match, and Ann Li won 7-5 6-3.

Sunday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Ann Li against Shuai Zhang on hard. Ann Li comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Shuai Zhang is 4-6 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Ann Li, 4-0 across their 4 meetings with Shuai Zhang. On hard specifically it reads 2-0 Li — worth more than the overall number this week.

Li's 65.2% behind the first serve (against 59.7% for Zhang) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Zhang comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Li gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Ann Li

1704

Shuai Zhang

1698

Overall rating

Ann Li

1770

Shuai Zhang

1705

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Ann Li	Shuai Zhang
1st serve in	60.5%	67.6%
1st serve points won	65.2%	59.7%
2nd serve points won	46.9%	44.1%

Form

Ann Li

4–6

Shuai Zhang

4–6

Head to head

Ann Li leads the head-to-head 4-0. On hard: 2-0 Ann Li.

Full Li vs Zhang history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

What Pro unlocks

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang at Cincinnati?: Ann Li won 7-5 6-3.
Was the Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Ann Li at 55% before the match, and Ann Li won 7-5 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Ann Li and Shuai Zhang?: Ann Li leads the head-to-head 4-0. On hard: 2-0 Ann Li.