Ann Li and Shuai Zhang meet in the first round at French Open on Tuesday. Ann Li has won 7 of the last 10. Shuai Zhang has won 3 of the last 10.
Ann Li leads the head-to-head 4-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Li — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Li has been winning 65% of first-serve points to Zhang's 59.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Li fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ann Li | Shuai Zhang |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.5% | 67.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 65% | 59.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.5% | 44.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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