Monday's US Open first round pits Anna Blinkova against Anna Kalinskaya on hard. Anna Kalinskaya is 6-4 across recent matches. Anna Blinkova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Anna Kalinskaya is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kalinskaya around 66%. Kalinskaya should have enough here, though Blinkova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.