A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Anna Blinkova goes up against Maria Lourdes Carle in the Contrexeville round of 16. Maria Lourdes Carle has won 4 of the last 10. Anna Blinkova has won 3 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Carle fractionally more likely to land the big points.