Anna Bondar and Kaitlin Quevedo meet in the round of 16 at Guangzhou on Thursday. Kaitlin Quevedo is 7-3 across recent matches. Anna Bondar has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Quevedo comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Quevedo is exactly that — a lean.