Anna Kalinskaya and Daria Kasatkina meet in the round of 32 at Washington on Tuesday. Anna Kalinskaya has won 7 of the last 10. Daria Kasatkina comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Daria Kasatkina has had the better of this rivalry, winning 3 of 4 against Anna Kalinskaya. On hard specifically it reads 2-1 Kasatkina — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Kalinskaya has been winning 62.9% of first-serve points to Kasatkina's 59%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Kalinskaya.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Anna Kalinskaya | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 65% | 67.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.9% | 59% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.3% | 44.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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