A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Anna Kalinskaya goes up against Elina Svitolina in the US Open round of 32. Elina Svitolina is 7-3 across recent matches. Anna Kalinskaya has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Elina Svitolina simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Svitolina.