Monday's US Open round of 16 pits Anna Kalinskaya against Emma Navarro on hard. Anna Kalinskaya has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Emma Navarro brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.
Anna Kalinskaya simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Kalinskaya — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Anna Kalinskaya | Emma Navarro |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.6% | 63.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.4% | 62.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.8% | 45.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.