A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Anna Kalinskaya goes up against Jessica Pegula in the Washington quarterfinal. Jessica Pegula is 8-2 across recent matches. Anna Kalinskaya comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 69%. The edge belongs to Pegula — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.