Thursday's Rovereto round of 16 pits Antonia Ruzic against Bianca Andreescu on clay. Bianca Andreescu is 4-6 across recent matches. Antonia Ruzic is 3-7 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Andreescu.