Toronto · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 4, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC

Antonia Ruzic vs. Madison Keys — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 4, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Madison Keys won 6-1 6-2

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Madison Keys, who won 6-1 6-2.

Antonia Ruzic and Madison Keys meet in the round of 64 at Toronto on Tuesday. Madison Keys limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10. Antonia Ruzic has won 4 of the last 10.

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

The serve is where this match separates: Keys has been winning 65.5% of first-serve points to Ruzic's 61.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Keys should have enough here, though Ruzic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Antonia Ruzic

1699

Madison Keys

1896

Overall rating

Antonia Ruzic

1670

Madison Keys

1992

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Antonia Ruzic	Madison Keys
1st serve in	64.8%	64.4%
1st serve points won	61.3%	65.5%
2nd serve points won	45.9%	44.8%

Form

Antonia Ruzic

4–6

Madison Keys

7–3

Head to head

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 1-0.

Full Ruzic vs Keys history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys at Toronto?: Madison Keys won 6-1 6-2.
Was the Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Madison Keys, who won 6-1 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Antonia Ruzic and Madison Keys?: Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 1-0.