Karen Khachanov won 7-6(6) 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
Nailed it. We had Karen Khachanov at 60% before the match, and Karen Khachanov won 7-6(6) 6-7(5) 7-6(2).
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Arthur Fery goes up against Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai round of 64. Karen Khachanov is 6-4 across recent matches. Arthur Fery comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Khachanov has been winning 72% of first-serve points to Fery's 68.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Khachanov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Arthur Fery | Karen Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.5% | 62.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.8% | 72% |
| 2nd serve points won | 53.2% | 51.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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