Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti meet in the round of 16 at Vienna on Thursday. Lorenzo Musetti limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Arthur Fery comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Musetti comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Musetti — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.