Cincinnati · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 22, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC

Arthur Fils vs. Flavio Cobolli — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 22, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Arthur Fils won 6-3 6-4

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 63% on Arthur Fils, who won 6-3 6-4.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Arthur Fils goes up against Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati semifinal. Arthur Fils is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Flavio Cobolli is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The serve is where this match separates: Fils has been winning 74.2% of first-serve points to Cobolli's 71%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Fils should have enough here, though Cobolli has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Arthur Fils

2044

Flavio Cobolli

1906

Overall rating

Arthur Fils

2114

Flavio Cobolli

2007

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Arthur Fils	Flavio Cobolli
1st serve in	61.4%	54.7%
1st serve points won	74.2%	71%
2nd serve points won	50.1%	52.7%

Form

Arthur Fils

7–3

Flavio Cobolli

7–3

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Arthur Fils vs Flavio Cobolli at Cincinnati?: Arthur Fils won 6-3 6-4.
Was the Arthur Fils vs Flavio Cobolli prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 63% on Arthur Fils, who won 6-3 6-4.