Arthur Fils won 6-3 7-5
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 59% on Arthur Fils, who won 6-3 7-5.
Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Friday. Arthur Fils comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Frances Tiafoe is 8-2 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Tiafoe comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fils fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Arthur Fils | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.3% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 74% | 72.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.1% | 51.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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