A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Arthur Fils goes up against Jiri Lehecka in the Cincinnati round of 32. Arthur Fils comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Jiri Lehecka comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fils fractionally more likely to land the big points.