Montreal · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 11, 2026, 6:20 PM UTC

Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 11, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Rafael Jodar won 7-6 6-3

Missed it. We had Arthur Fils at 54%, but Rafael Jodar won 7-6 6-3.

Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar meet in the quarterfinal at Montreal on Tuesday. Arthur Fils comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Rafael Jodar comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

The serve is where this match separates: Fils has been winning 74.2% of first-serve points to Jodar's 69.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Fils is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Arthur Fils

2044

Rafael Jodar

1985

Overall rating

Arthur Fils

2114

Rafael Jodar

2101

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Arthur Fils	Rafael Jodar
1st serve in	61.4%	61.7%
1st serve points won	74.2%	69.4%
2nd serve points won	49.8%	51.8%

Form

Arthur Fils

7–3

Rafael Jodar

8–2

Head to head

Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1-0.

Full Fils vs Jodar history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar at Montreal?: Rafael Jodar won 7-6 6-3.
Was the Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar prediction correct?: Missed it. We had Arthur Fils at 54%, but Rafael Jodar won 7-6 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar?: Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1-0.