A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Arthur Fils goes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the US Open first round. Arthur Fils has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Stefanos Tsitsipas comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Arthur Fils is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fils around 65%. Fils should have enough here, though Tsitsipas has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.