It all comes down to Sunday at Los Cabos, where Arthur Gea faces Denis Shapovalov for the trophy. Denis Shapovalov has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall. Arthur Gea brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Shapovalov has been winning 74.7% of first-serve points to Gea's 67.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shapovalov fractionally more likely to land the big points.