US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Sep 1, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC
Arthur Gea vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 1, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
Share result
Result
✓ Pick right
Arthur Gea won 6-3 2-6 3-6 6-3 6-1
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 57% on Arthur Gea, who won 6-3 2-6 3-6 6-3 6-1.
Arthur Gea and Juan Manuel Cerundolo meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Arthur Gea brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 5-5 across recent matches.
Arthur Gea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gea fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Arthur Gea
1988
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1677
Overall rating
Arthur Gea
1949
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1811
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Arthur Gea
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1st serve in
59.7%
59.5%
1st serve points won
67.2%
67.6%
2nd serve points won
49.1%
50.7%
Form
Arthur Gea
9–1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Arthur Gea vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at US Open?
Arthur Gea won 6-3 2-6 3-6 6-3 6-1.
Was the Arthur Gea vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 57% on Arthur Gea, who won 6-3 2-6 3-6 6-3 6-1.