Arthur Gea and Karen Khachanov meet in the first round at French Open on Sunday. Arthur Gea comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Karen Khachanov has won 5 of the last 10.

Karen Khachanov has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Arthur Gea. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Khachanov — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gea.