A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Arthur Gea goes up against Michael Zheng in the Los Cabos round of 16. Arthur Gea is 7-3 across recent matches. Michael Zheng is 5-5 across recent matches.
Arthur Gea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Gea comes in off a compressed schedule; Zheng comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gea fractionally more likely to land the big points.