A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Arthur Gea goes up against Murphy Cassone in the Granby semifinal. Arthur Gea is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Murphy Cassone is rolling — 3 straight wins, 4 of 10 in recent play.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Gea comes in off a compressed schedule; Cassone comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gea.