A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Arthur Gea goes up against Zachary Svajda in the US Open round of 64. Arthur Gea has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Zachary Svajda comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Svajda comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gea.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Arthur Gea | Zachary Svajda |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.7% | 60.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.4% | 71.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.7% | 50.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.