A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Arthur Gea goes up against Zhizhen Zhang in the Beijing round of 32. Arthur Gea comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Zhizhen Zhang has dropped 3 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

Arthur Gea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Zhang needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.