Friday's US Open round of 32 pits Arthur Rinderknech against Daniil Medvedev on hard. Daniil Medvedev comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Arthur Rinderknech has won 5 of the last 10.

Daniil Medvedev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Medvedev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.