A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Arthur Rinderknech goes up against Sebastian Baez in the Kitzbuhel round of 16. Arthur Rinderknech comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Sebastian Baez comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Hold strength tells the story — 75% versus 65.1% on first-serve points in Rinderknech's favor. Baez comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Rinderknech.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Arthur Rinderknech | Sebastian Baez |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.6% | 72.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 75% | 65.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.5% | 51.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.