Monday's US Open first round pits Aryna Sabalenka against Camila Osorio on hard. Aryna Sabalenka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Camila Osorio limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
Sabalenka's 67% behind the first serve (against 61.6% for Osorio) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. If Sabalenka plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Aryna Sabalenka | Camila Osorio |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.6% | 65.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 67% | 61.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.9% | 43.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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