French Open · R128 · Clay · best of 3 · May 26, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 26, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Aryna Sabalenka won 6-4 6-2 · May 26, 2026, 1:43 PM UTC

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 83% on Aryna Sabalenka, who won 6-4 6-2.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Aryna Sabalenka goes up against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the French Open first round. Aryna Sabalenka brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is 4-6 across recent matches.

Aryna Sabalenka has had the better of this rivalry, winning 3 of 3 against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Sabalenka — worth more than the overall number this week.

Sabalenka's 67.4% behind the first serve (against 60.5% for Maneiro) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Maneiro needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Aryna Sabalenka

2018

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

1642

Overall rating

Aryna Sabalenka

2188

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

1672

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Aryna Sabalenka	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1st serve in	59.4%	61.2%
1st serve points won	67.4%	60.5%
2nd serve points won	44.8%	43.8%

Form

Aryna Sabalenka

8–2

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

4–6

Head to head

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 3-0. On clay: 1-0 Aryna Sabalenka.

Full Sabalenka vs Maneiro history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at French Open?: Aryna Sabalenka won 6-4 6-2.
Was the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 83% on Aryna Sabalenka, who won 6-4 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?: Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 3-0. On clay: 1-0 Aryna Sabalenka.