French Open · R128 · Clay · best of 3 · May 26, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · May 26, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Aryna Sabalenka won 6-4 6-2
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 83% on Aryna Sabalenka, who won 6-4 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Aryna Sabalenka goes up against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the French Open first round. Aryna Sabalenka brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is 4-6 across recent matches.
Aryna Sabalenka has had the better of this rivalry, winning 3 of 3 against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Sabalenka — worth more than the overall number this week.
Sabalenka's 67.4% behind the first serve (against 60.5% for Maneiro) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Maneiro needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Aryna Sabalenka
2051
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1689
Overall rating
Aryna Sabalenka
2190
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1737
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Aryna Sabalenka
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1st serve in
59.4%
61.2%
1st serve points won
67.4%
60.5%
2nd serve points won
44.8%
43.8%
Form
Aryna Sabalenka
8–2
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
4–6
Head to head
Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 3-0. On clay: 1-0 Aryna Sabalenka.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at French Open?
Aryna Sabalenka won 6-4 6-2.
Was the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 83% on Aryna Sabalenka, who won 6-4 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 3-0. On clay: 1-0 Aryna Sabalenka.